Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.7% vs Carter 46.5% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 50.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 83.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 76.2%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Boyle
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyle
Carter
Last 5: Boyle 4-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
3
1
Boyle
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (641)
40.0% (50)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (243)
45.0% (20)
-0.6%
On even strength, Boyle has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Boyle is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Boyle shoots left. Carter is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Boyle
Carter
Home
51.8% (427)
38.9% (36)
Away
50.0% (478)
44.1% (34)
By Period
Boyle
Carter
P1
50.7%
50.0%
P2
52.7%
35.7%
P3
49.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |