Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 79.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 77.6%
Neutral zone
Boyle 79.4%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Boyle
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Boyle
O'Reilly
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Boyle
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Boyle
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Boyle
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
56.9% (1,203)
-4.3%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
60.2% (329)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
50.4% (280)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Boyle
O'Reilly
Home
52.4% (315)
58.6% (879)
Away
49.3% (367)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Boyle
O'Reilly
P1
51.1%
55.6%
P2
52.6%
57.9%
P3
48.3%
55.7%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 12:54 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |