Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Couturier 44.9% (+12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 67.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 61.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 69.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Boyle
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Boyle
Couturier
Last 7: Boyle 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Boyle
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Boyle
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
44.4% (448)
+11.3%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
57.7% (26)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
36.7% (79)
+26.7%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Boyle is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Boyle shoots left. Couturier is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Boyle
Couturier
Home
58.5% (205)
42.2% (296)
Away
54.0% (176)
45.9% (257)
By Period
Boyle
Couturier
P1
60.0%
44.0%
P2
54.9%
46.5%
P3
55.3%
41.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |