Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Matthias 46.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Matthias leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthias 69.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 51.1%
Neutral zone
Matthias 57.4%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Boyle
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Boyle
Matthias
Last 10: Boyle 7-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
10
Boyle
Matthias
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
7
3
Boyle
Matthias
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
5
Boyle
Matthias
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
46.4% (1,716)
+5.3%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
56.3% (103)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
41.7% (175)
+4.5%
On even strength, Boyle has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Boyle
Matthias
Home
52.2% (3,521)
46.9% (933)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Boyle
Matthias
P1
51.3%
47.8%
P2
51.1%
49.4%
P3
50.4%
41.6%
OT
55.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |