Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.6% vs Matthias 49.5% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Matthias leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthias 76.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 62.5%
Neutral zone
Matthias 59.5%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Boyle
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Boyle
Matthias
Last 10: Boyle 2-8 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
3
Boyle
Matthias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Boyle
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
4
Boyle
Matthias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (931)
49.4% (510)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
55.3% (38)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (209)
46.5% (43)
-0.1%
On even strength, Boyle has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Boyle is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Boyle shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Boyle
Matthias
Home
54.3% (595)
47.6% (315)
Away
49.4% (620)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Boyle
Matthias
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
51.9%
P3
51.3%
45.8%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 01:32 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |