Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Kero 46.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kero 55.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kero 52.9%
Result
Tanner Kero favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Boyle
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Boyle
Kero
Last 8: Boyle 4-4 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Kero
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Kero
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
1
3
Boyle
Kero
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
47.0% (668)
+4.7%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
42.9% (7)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
31.9% (47)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Kero is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Boyle
Kero
Home
52.2% (3,521)
49.1% (332)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
43.3% (390)
By Period
Boyle
Kero
P1
51.3%
47.6%
P2
51.1%
48.8%
P3
50.4%
40.9%
OT
55.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Nov 12, 2017 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |