Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 60.1%
Defensive zone
Boyle 79.4%
Neutral zone
Boyle 58.9%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Boyle
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Boyle
Connolly
Last 10: Boyle 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
4
7
Boyle
Connolly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
6
1
Boyle
Connolly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Boyle
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
47.4% (1,307)
+4.3%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
50.2% (251)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
41.9% (186)
+4.3%
On power play, Boyle has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Boyle is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,682).
Boyle shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Boyle
Connolly
Home
52.2% (3,521)
48.5% (870)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Boyle
Connolly
P1
51.3%
47.4%
P2
51.1%
47.7%
P3
50.4%
47.0%
OT
55.3%
37.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 30, 2011 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 1, 2011 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 18:24 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |