Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.6% vs Connolly 48.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 62.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 85.1%
Neutral zone
Boyle 70.8%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Boyle
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Boyle
Connolly
Last 7: Boyle 6-1 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
0
Boyle
Connolly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (931)
47.8% (605)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
51.2% (86)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (209)
55.1% (89)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Boyle is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Boyle shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Boyle
Connolly
Home
54.3% (595)
51.1% (358)
Away
49.4% (620)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Boyle
Connolly
P1
54.2%
48.7%
P2
50.0%
48.1%
P3
51.3%
50.4%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.8%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |