Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.9% vs Smith 48.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 59.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 60.2%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Boyle
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Boyle
Smith
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Boyle
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Boyle
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (5,426)
49.0% (769)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.6% (597)
63.6% (22)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,301)
42.4% (118)
+3.8%
On power play, Smith has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Boyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Boyle shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Boyle
Smith
Home
52.2% (3,521)
52.4% (490)
Away
49.8% (3,828)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Boyle
Smith
P1
51.3%
46.9%
P2
51.1%
51.2%
P3
50.4%
47.7%
OT
55.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
51.0%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |