Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.7% vs Smith 51.9% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyle 50.9%
Defensive zone
Boyle 72.7%
Neutral zone
Boyle 61.5%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Boyle
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Boyle
Smith
Last 10: Boyle 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Boyle
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Boyle
Smith
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (641)
53.7% (449)
-0.3%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
80.0% (10)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (243)
43.1% (102)
+1.3%
On power play, Smith has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Boyle is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Boyle shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Boyle
Smith
Home
51.8% (427)
55.0% (280)
Away
50.0% (478)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Boyle
Smith
P1
50.7%
52.3%
P2
52.7%
52.1%
P3
49.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.2%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |