Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Boyle wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 55.1% vs Bozak 52.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Boyle leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 52.4%
Defensive zone
Boyle 64.2%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.7%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Boyle
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Boyle
Bozak
Last 10: Boyle 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Boyle
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
9
1
Boyle
Bozak
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Boyle
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (287)
52.8% (697)
+2.9%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
50.9% (171)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (71)
53.3% (195)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Boyle is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Boyle shoots left. Bozak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (670).
Home / Away
Boyle
Bozak
Home
58.5% (205)
52.1% (530)
Away
54.0% (176)
53.1% (533)
By Period
Boyle
Bozak
P1
60.0%
54.1%
P2
54.9%
50.6%
P3
55.3%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
56.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |