Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.7% vs Bozak 53.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 86.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 53.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 60.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Boyle
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Boyle
Bozak
Last 6: Boyle 5-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
0
Boyle
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (641)
53.8% (1,244)
-0.4%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
53.1% (356)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (243)
49.1% (175)
-4.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Boyle is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Boyle shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Boyle
Bozak
Home
51.8% (427)
57.7% (892)
Away
50.0% (478)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Boyle
Bozak
P1
50.7%
54.0%
P2
52.7%
54.4%
P3
49.5%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:11 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |