Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.4% vs Seguin 54.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 77.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 74.7%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Boyle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Boyle
Seguin
Last 7: Boyle 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyle
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (667)
55.1% (1,036)
-5.8%
Power Play
55.6% (124)
56.9% (174)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (41)
52.2% (230)
+1.5%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Boyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Boyle shoots left. Seguin is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Boyle
Seguin
Home
52.9% (391)
58.9% (703)
Away
48.3% (441)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Boyle
Seguin
P1
48.9%
54.5%
P2
50.6%
53.7%
P3
51.2%
57.0%
OT
100.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |