Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyle wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.9% vs Rask 45.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 65.8%
Defensive zone
Boyle 55.0%
Neutral zone
Boyle 51.0%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Boyle
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyle
Rask
Last 6: Boyle 3-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
3
Boyle
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (312)
44.3% (255)
+8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (34)
50.0% (14)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
0.0% (3)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Boyle is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Boyle shoots left. Rask is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Boyle
Rask
Home
48.5% (194)
40.6% (133)
Away
56.6% (182)
47.5% (139)
By Period
Boyle
Rask
P1
49.1%
52.5%
P2
55.9%
37.5%
P3
51.7%
41.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 12:29 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Jan 20, 2020 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Victor Rask |