Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Karlsson 46.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 68.3%
Defensive zone
Boyle 65.9%
Neutral zone
Boyle 61.0%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Boyle
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Boyle
Karlsson
Last 5: Boyle 5-0 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
0
Boyle
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
46.5% (744)
+6.1%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
16.7% (18)
+37.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
45.0% (149)
-2.7%
On power play, Boyle has a +37.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. Karlsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Boyle
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (315)
44.0% (425)
Away
49.3% (367)
47.1% (486)
By Period
Boyle
Karlsson
P1
51.1%
49.7%
P2
52.6%
41.4%
P3
48.3%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 13, 2016 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 13, 2016 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 16:46 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Dec 14, 2015 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |