Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 51.8% vs Gourde 41.8% (+15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyle 74.2%
Defensive zone
Boyle 86.5%
Neutral zone
Boyle 76.9%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Boyle
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Boyle
Gourde
Last 6: Boyle 5-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
4
1
Boyle
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (408)
39.8% (128)
+11.9%
Power Play
60.3% (68)
25.0% (12)
+35.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (105)
26.1% (23)
+22.5%
On power play, Boyle has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Boyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Boyle shoots left. Gourde is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Boyle
Gourde
Home
54.2% (238)
43.2% (95)
Away
50.7% (343)
27.9% (68)
By Period
Boyle
Gourde
P1
53.9%
43.1%
P2
52.1%
33.3%
P3
50.7%
34.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
52.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |