Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Boyle wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 50.6% vs Girgensons 46.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 56.5%
Defensive zone
Boyle 59.5%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 57.0%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Boyle
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyle
Girgensons
Last 5: Boyle 2-3 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Boyle
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
0
Boyle
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Boyle
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (517)
47.3% (298)
+5.3%
Power Play
54.3% (35)
60.0% (5)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
28.1% (32)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Boyle has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Boyle is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Boyle shoots left. Girgensons is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Boyle
Girgensons
Home
52.4% (315)
42.1% (152)
Away
49.3% (367)
48.6% (183)
By Period
Boyle
Girgensons
P1
51.1%
49.6%
P2
52.6%
36.6%
P3
48.3%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.7%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |