Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 48.9%). Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Wagner 49.0% (+0.9%)
Offensive zone
Flynn 51.6%
Defensive zone
Wagner 54.3%
Neutral zone
Wagner 53.9%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Flynn
Wagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
50.8% (1,243)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
40.0% (20)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
42.0% (307)
+6.3%
On power play, Flynn has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Flynn
Wagner
Home
50.8% (661)
49.8% (817)
Away
48.8% (642)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Flynn
Wagner
P1
47.3%
48.6%
P2
51.8%
48.6%
P3
50.0%
49.5%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%