Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 70.7%
Defensive zone
Flynn 78.0%
Neutral zone
Flynn 57.8%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Flynn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Flynn
McDavid
Last 5: Flynn 5-0 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
0
Flynn
McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
47.7% (8,358)
+2.5%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
52.0% (371)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
43.4% (279)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
Home / Away
Flynn
McDavid
Home
50.8% (661)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
48.8% (642)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Flynn
McDavid
P1
47.3%
46.5%
P2
51.8%
48.7%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
58.3%
40.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |