Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 58.2% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 56.1% vs McDavid 42.5% (+16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 59.4%
Defensive zone
Flynn 96.3%
Neutral zone
Flynn 86.5%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Flynn
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Flynn
McDavid
Last 5: Flynn 5-0 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
0
Flynn
McDavid
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (251)
40.7% (578)
+15.9%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
56.3% (16)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (89)
50.0% (10)
+9.6%
On power play, Flynn has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Flynn is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Flynn shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Flynn
McDavid
Home
61.0% (177)
42.7% (323)
Away
54.4% (169)
39.5% (281)
By Period
Flynn
McDavid
P1
56.8%
42.3%
P2
60.0%
37.3%
P3
55.8%
43.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
57.8%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 04:41 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 05:34 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |