Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs MacKenzie 53.0% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 53.8%
Defensive zone
Flynn 52.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Flynn
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Flynn
MacKenzie
Last 10: Flynn 6-4 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
6
1
Flynn
MacKenzie
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
6
Flynn
MacKenzie
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Flynn
MacKenzie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
54.9% (3,660)
-4.7%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
55.9% (102)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
46.7% (1,158)
+1.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
Home / Away
Flynn
MacKenzie
Home
50.8% (661)
54.0% (2,527)
Away
48.8% (642)
52.1% (2,398)
By Period
Flynn
MacKenzie
P1
47.3%
51.9%
P2
51.8%
53.0%
P3
50.0%
54.0%
OT
58.3%
65.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:52 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |