Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.8% vs MacKenzie 50.0% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 62.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 57.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.3%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Flynn
MacKenzie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Flynn
MacKenzie
Last 6: Flynn 3-3 MacKenzie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
0
Flynn
MacKenzie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
2
Flynn
MacKenzie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
0
1
Flynn
MacKenzie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
MacKenzie
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (102)
52.5% (564)
-2.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
77.8% (9)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
41.7% (199)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKenzie shoots left. Flynn is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Flynn shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Flynn
MacKenzie
Home
52.1% (71)
52.7% (404)
Away
41.0% (78)
47.0% (368)
By Period
Flynn
MacKenzie
P1
45.1%
50.0%
P2
40.0%
50.0%
P3
51.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
34.1%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
46.3%
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |