Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Beagle 56.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 61.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 72.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 55.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Flynn
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Flynn
Beagle
Last 6: Flynn 3-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Flynn
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Flynn
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
57.5% (4,994)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
60.5% (119)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
54.2% (1,554)
-5.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Home / Away
Flynn
Beagle
Home
50.8% (661)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
48.8% (642)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Flynn
Beagle
P1
47.3%
57.4%
P2
51.8%
57.1%
P3
50.0%
56.2%
OT
58.3%
41.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |