Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.8% vs 58.1%). Flynn wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 56.1% vs Beagle 57.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 65.9%
Defensive zone
Flynn 56.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 52.0%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Flynn
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Flynn
Beagle
Last 5: Flynn 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Flynn
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Flynn
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (251)
58.1% (485)
-1.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
84.6% (13)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (89)
55.4% (139)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Flynn is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Flynn shoots right. Beagle is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Flynn
Beagle
Home
61.0% (177)
57.0% (307)
Away
54.4% (169)
59.1% (330)
By Period
Flynn
Beagle
P1
56.8%
59.1%
P2
60.0%
59.8%
P3
55.8%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
57.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:21 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |