Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 48.4% vs Tavares 52.1% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Flynn leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.0%
Defensive zone
Flynn 54.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 73.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Flynn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Flynn
Tavares
Last 10: Flynn 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Flynn
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
4
0
Flynn
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
4
1
Flynn
Tavares
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (274)
52.4% (1,121)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
51.3% (304)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
58.8% (17)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Flynn is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Flynn shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Flynn
Tavares
Home
47.4% (211)
56.5% (731)
Away
48.6% (148)
47.8% (711)
By Period
Flynn
Tavares
P1
47.8%
56.1%
P2
51.1%
50.3%
P3
43.4%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |