Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Staal 55.3% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 66.2%
Defensive zone
Flynn 75.1%
Neutral zone
Flynn 71.4%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Flynn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Flynn
Staal
Last 8: Flynn 2-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Flynn
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Flynn
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Flynn
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
55.9% (14,620)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
62.7% (1,745)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
48.0% (2,896)
+0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Flynn
Staal
Home
50.8% (661)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
48.8% (642)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Flynn
Staal
P1
47.3%
55.2%
P2
51.8%
55.9%
P3
50.0%
54.9%
OT
58.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 7, 2016 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |