Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Arcobello 50.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 89.8%
Defensive zone
Flynn 64.2%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 64.2%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Flynn
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Flynn
Arcobello
Last 6: Flynn 4-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
2
Flynn
Arcobello
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Arcobello
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Arcobello
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
50.6% (1,408)
-0.4%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
60.8% (130)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
36.8% (57)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Arcobello is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Flynn
Arcobello
Home
50.8% (661)
53.2% (745)
Away
48.8% (642)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Flynn
Arcobello
P1
47.3%
53.2%
P2
51.8%
51.3%
P3
50.0%
48.4%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |