Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Flynn wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 56.1% vs Arcobello 53.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 81.5%
Defensive zone
Flynn 86.1%
Neutral zone
Flynn 62.3%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Flynn
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Flynn
Arcobello
Last 6: Flynn 4-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
2
Flynn
Arcobello
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Arcobello
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Arcobello
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (251)
50.5% (196)
+6.1%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
70.0% (40)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (89)
83.3% (6)
-23.7%
On penalty kill, Arcobello has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Flynn is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Flynn shoots right. Arcobello is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Flynn
Arcobello
Home
61.0% (177)
57.1% (84)
Away
54.4% (169)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Flynn
Arcobello
P1
56.8%
59.7%
P2
60.0%
52.3%
P3
55.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
55.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
57.8%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |