Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Duchene 54.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.3%
Defensive zone
Flynn 85.0%
Neutral zone
Flynn 65.3%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Flynn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Flynn
Duchene
Last 7: Flynn 2-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Flynn
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Flynn
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Flynn
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.7%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
56.9% (1,665)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
49.1% (468)
-0.8%
On power play, Duchene has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Flynn
Duchene
Home
50.8% (661)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
48.8% (642)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Flynn
Duchene
P1
47.3%
54.5%
P2
51.8%
54.5%
P3
50.0%
53.4%
OT
58.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |