Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.4%). Look for Flynn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Stajan 49.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stajan 50.5%
Defensive zone
Stajan 50.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 57.5%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Flynn
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Flynn
Stajan
Last 7: Flynn 4-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
1
Flynn
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
Flynn
Stajan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
50.2% (4,944)
+0.0%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
43.2% (176)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
46.1% (864)
+2.2%
On power play, Flynn has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Flynn
Stajan
Home
50.8% (661)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
48.8% (642)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Flynn
Stajan
P1
47.3%
50.3%
P2
51.8%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
49.4%
OT
58.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |