Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Thompson 52.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 75.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 77.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 80.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Flynn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Flynn
Thompson
Last 7: Flynn 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Flynn
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
0
Flynn
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
54.1% (5,812)
-3.9%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
54.8% (135)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
47.9% (1,381)
+0.4%
On even strength, Thompson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Flynn is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Flynn shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Flynn
Thompson
Home
50.8% (661)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
48.8% (642)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Flynn
Thompson
P1
47.3%
53.2%
P2
51.8%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
52.8%
OT
58.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |