Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.0%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.0%
Defensive zone
Flynn 60.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 55.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Flynn
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Flynn
Bjugstad
Last 10: Flynn 3-7 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Flynn
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Flynn
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
5
Flynn
Bjugstad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
48.6% (6,566)
+1.6%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
55.2% (828)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
44.1% (612)
+4.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,311).
Home / Away
Flynn
Bjugstad
Home
50.8% (661)
50.0% (3,981)
Away
48.8% (642)
48.0% (4,025)
By Period
Flynn
Bjugstad
P1
47.3%
49.1%
P2
51.8%
49.0%
P3
50.0%
48.4%
OT
58.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 04:11 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 06:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |