Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.9% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 65.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 50.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 58.6%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Flynn
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Flynn
Jokinen
Last 5: Flynn 1-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
2
Flynn
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Flynn
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (312)
45.3% (1,142)
+3.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.4% (131)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
43.9% (57)
-1.0%
On power play, Jokinen has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Flynn is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Flynn shoots right. Jokinen is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Flynn
Jokinen
Home
46.4% (168)
48.8% (692)
Away
48.0% (221)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Flynn
Jokinen
P1
43.3%
44.9%
P2
49.6%
45.7%
P3
49.2%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:15 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |