Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.8% vs 57.1%). Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Flynn wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 56.1% vs Bergeron 56.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Flynn leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 86.5%
Defensive zone
Flynn 56.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 67.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Flynn
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Flynn
Bergeron
Last 10: Flynn 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Flynn
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
4
1
Flynn
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
2
1
Flynn
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (251)
57.0% (1,376)
-0.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
62.8% (323)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (89)
51.3% (279)
+8.3%
On power play, Flynn has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Flynn is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Flynn shoots right. Bergeron is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Flynn
Bergeron
Home
61.0% (177)
59.1% (986)
Away
54.4% (169)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Flynn
Bergeron
P1
56.8%
55.5%
P2
60.0%
58.0%
P3
55.8%
57.9%
OT
100.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
55.8%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
57.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 2 | 05:27 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 2 | 19:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |