Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Gagner 46.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 76.2%
Defensive zone
Flynn 80.7%
Neutral zone
Flynn 51.4%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Flynn
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Flynn
Gagner
Last 7: Flynn 4-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Flynn
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
1
Flynn
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
45.4% (4,699)
+4.8%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
51.5% (928)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
35.0% (226)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Flynn
Gagner
Home
50.8% (661)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
48.8% (642)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Flynn
Gagner
P1
47.3%
44.6%
P2
51.8%
46.1%
P3
50.0%
47.3%
OT
58.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |