Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 46.8%). Look for Flynn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Flynn wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.9% vs Gagner 47.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.9%
Defensive zone
Flynn 70.1%
Neutral zone
Flynn 52.1%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Flynn
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Flynn
Gagner
Last 7: Flynn 4-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Flynn
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
3
1
Flynn
Gagner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (312)
45.9% (815)
+2.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.3% (132)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
25.0% (16)
+17.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Flynn is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Flynn shoots right. Gagner is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Flynn
Gagner
Home
46.4% (168)
48.7% (542)
Away
48.0% (221)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Flynn
Gagner
P1
43.3%
45.1%
P2
49.6%
46.6%
P3
49.2%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |