Scouting Report
Brian Flynn holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Gionta 41.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 53.7%
Defensive zone
Flynn 54.8%
Neutral zone
Gionta 58.3%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Flynn
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Flynn
Gionta
Last 9: Flynn 4-5 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Flynn
Gionta
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
1
0
Flynn
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
3
Flynn
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
40.6% (1,902)
+9.6%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
61.5% (26)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
40.1% (292)
+8.2%
On power play, Gionta has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Flynn
Gionta
Home
50.8% (661)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
48.8% (642)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Flynn
Gionta
P1
47.3%
40.8%
P2
51.8%
41.8%
P3
50.0%
39.8%
OT
58.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:18 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Nov 27, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |