Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 49.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 74.3%
Defensive zone
Flynn 77.1%
Neutral zone
Flynn 52.0%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Flynn
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Flynn
Stamkos
Last 10: Flynn 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Flynn
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Flynn
5
4
Flynn
Stamkos
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Flynn
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (989)
50.4% (9,799)
-0.2%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
55.1% (1,725)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (265)
49.7% (825)
-1.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Flynn is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Flynn shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Flynn
Stamkos
Home
50.8% (661)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
48.8% (642)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Flynn
Stamkos
P1
47.3%
49.1%
P2
51.8%
52.7%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
OT
58.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
49.8%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 2, 2014 | OT | 03:57 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 14, 2013 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |