Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gibbons wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gibbons 44.5% vs Spezza 54.7% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 54.8%
Defensive zone
Gibbons 50.3%
Neutral zone
Gibbons 50.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Gibbons
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gibbons
Spezza
Last 6: Gibbons 3-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gibbons
2
0
Gibbons
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Gibbons
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Gibbons
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gibbons
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (96)
54.4% (7,990)
-11.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.8% (1,726)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
52.7% (643)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Gibbons is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Gibbons shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Gibbons
Spezza
Home
42.1% (57)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
38.1% (63)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Gibbons
Spezza
P1
41.5%
55.7%
P2
47.5%
54.4%
P3
33.3%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
37.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gibbons
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Brian Gibbons |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |