Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gibbons 48.4% vs Spezza 53.7% (-13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 54.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 57.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 58.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Gibbons
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gibbons
Spezza
Last 6: Gibbons 3-3 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gibbons
2
0
Gibbons
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Gibbons
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
2
Gibbons
Spezza
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gibbons
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (19)
53.9% (1,097)
-11.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.8% (250)
+45.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.8% (89)
-52.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Gibbons is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Gibbons shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Home / Away
Gibbons
Spezza
Home
44.4% (18)
55.8% (695)
Away
25.0% (4)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Gibbons
Spezza
P1
30.0%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
66.7%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
73.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gibbons
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.9%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Brian Gibbons |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |