Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gibbons wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gibbons 44.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gibbons 68.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.1%
Neutral zone
Gibbons 52.0%
Result
Brian Gibbons favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Gibbons
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gibbons
Bonino
Last 5: Gibbons 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gibbons
1
0
Gibbons
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gibbons
1
0
Gibbons
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Gibbons
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gibbons
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (96)
50.6% (8,315)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
54.1% (972)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
44.6% (1,693)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Gibbons is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Gibbons shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Gibbons
Bonino
Home
42.1% (57)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
38.1% (63)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Gibbons
Bonino
P1
41.5%
50.6%
P2
47.5%
48.5%
P3
33.3%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
37.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gibbons
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |