Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gibbons wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gibbons 47.7% vs Bonino 53.9% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gibbons 68.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.6%
Neutral zone
Gibbons 50.6%
Result
Brian Gibbons favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Gibbons
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gibbons
Bonino
Last 5: Gibbons 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gibbons
1
0
Gibbons
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gibbons
1
0
Gibbons
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Gibbons
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gibbons
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (34)
56.4% (771)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
43.8% (169)
-8.5%
On even strength, Bonino has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Gibbons is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Gibbons shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Gibbons
Bonino
Home
50.0% (20)
56.5% (531)
Away
38.7% (31)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Gibbons
Bonino
P1
55.6%
56.7%
P2
44.4%
48.1%
P3
30.8%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
42.9%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gibbons
38.0%▼
40.0%
43.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Brian Gibbons |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |