Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gionta wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 42.0% vs Toews 57.9% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 92.6%
Defensive zone
Gionta 91.5%
Neutral zone
Gionta 92.2%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Gionta
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Gionta
Toews
Last 6: Gionta 0-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Gionta
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Gionta
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Gionta
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (305)
57.2% (13,047)
-20.5%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
63.3% (3,252)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (135)
53.6% (1,810)
-19.5%
On even strength, Toews has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Gionta is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Gionta shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Home / Away
Gionta
Toews
Home
40.4% (307)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
41.0% (295)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Gionta
Toews
P1
37.7%
58.6%
P2
42.9%
57.8%
P3
40.7%
57.3%
OT
42.9%
58.9%
Final 5 min
35.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |