Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gionta wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 44.2% vs Toews 56.2% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 78.4%
Defensive zone
Gionta 90.8%
Neutral zone
Gionta 84.5%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Gionta
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Gionta
Toews
Last 5: Gionta 0-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Gionta
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Gionta
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Gionta
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (63)
54.9% (1,229)
-13.6%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
62.7% (354)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (69)
54.3% (92)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Gionta is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Gionta shoots right. Toews is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Gionta
Toews
Home
40.7% (81)
57.6% (838)
Away
40.9% (88)
55.4% (837)
By Period
Gionta
Toews
P1
38.5%
58.0%
P2
32.7%
54.4%
P3
47.9%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
64.5%
Final 5 min
35.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2015 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |