Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Gionta wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 44.2% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gionta 60.5%
Defensive zone
Gionta 63.8%
Neutral zone
Gionta 63.7%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Gionta
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Gionta
Bergeron
Last 10: Gionta 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
6
Gionta
Bergeron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
2
0
Gionta
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (63)
60.5% (1,394)
-19.2%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
64.0% (300)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (69)
53.7% (255)
-18.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Gionta is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Gionta shoots right. Bergeron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bergeron
Home
40.7% (81)
62.0% (949)
Away
40.9% (88)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Gionta
Bergeron
P1
38.5%
59.2%
P2
32.7%
63.9%
P3
47.9%
57.0%
OT
40.0%
68.6%
Final 5 min
35.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | OT | 04:44 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2015 | OT | 00:13 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |