Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gionta wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 47.3% vs Monahan 51.0% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 62.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 55.7%
Neutral zone
Gionta 53.6%
Result
Brian Gionta favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Gionta
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gionta
Monahan
Last 7: Gionta 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Gionta
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
3
1
Gionta
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Gionta
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (58)
52.1% (1,301)
-12.4%
Power Play
52.3% (44)
50.3% (342)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
38.5% (96)
+5.9%
On even strength, Monahan has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gionta is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Gionta shoots right. Monahan is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Gionta
Monahan
Home
41.4% (70)
52.7% (875)
Away
50.0% (50)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Gionta
Monahan
P1
27.6%
51.0%
P2
56.9%
51.8%
P3
43.6%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
45.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:51 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Brian Gionta |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |