Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.4% vs 40.5%). Boeser wins 36.5% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 42.0% vs Smith 41.2% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Smith 52.3%
Defensive zone
Boeser 61.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.7%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Boeser
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (436)
40.8% (1,023)
-0.7%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
39.4% (198)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Boeser is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Boeser shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Boeser
Smith
Home
41.6% (238)
42.3% (556)
Away
39.2% (245)
39.1% (675)
By Period
Boeser
Smith
P1
37.6%
39.0%
P2
42.4%
42.1%
P3
40.7%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
48.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%