Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.9% vs 40.5%). Boeser wins 35.9% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boeser 41.6% vs Smith 41.2% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Smith 53.8%
Defensive zone
Boeser 57.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.8%
Result
Brock Boeser favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Boeser
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boeser
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (442)
40.8% (1,023)
-1.2%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
39.4% (198)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Boeser has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Boeser is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Boeser shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Boeser
Smith
Home
40.9% (242)
42.3% (556)
Away
38.9% (247)
39.1% (675)
By Period
Boeser
Smith
P1
37.2%
39.0%
P2
42.0%
42.1%
P3
40.0%
40.2%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boeser
46.0%▲
39.0%
39.9%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%