Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Nelson 44.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Shaw leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Shaw 85.7%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 77.8%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Shaw
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Shaw
Nelson
Last 10: Shaw 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
5
0
Shaw
Nelson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
3
Shaw
Nelson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
43.9% (715)
+6.3%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
61.5% (26)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
41.4% (58)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Shaw is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Shaw shoots right. Nelson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Shaw
Nelson
Home
51.0% (361)
42.9% (406)
Away
49.3% (351)
45.8% (393)
By Period
Shaw
Nelson
P1
48.8%
44.1%
P2
49.5%
47.2%
P3
52.1%
42.2%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.8%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |