Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs Nelson 48.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 60.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 70.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 52.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Richards
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Nelson
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
2
Richards
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
2
Richards
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
49.6% (347)
-2.4%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
20.8% (24)
+43.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
52.9% (17)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Richards is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Richards shoots left. Nelson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Richards
Nelson
Home
52.0% (123)
52.9% (210)
Away
47.2% (127)
42.1% (178)
By Period
Richards
Nelson
P1
56.3%
43.9%
P2
42.0%
48.1%
P3
50.6%
53.1%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |