Scouting Report
David Desharnais holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 48.5% vs Desharnais 54.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 68.4%
Defensive zone
Nelson 73.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 67.8%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Nelson
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nelson
Desharnais
Last 8: Nelson 2-6 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
2
Nelson
Desharnais
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
1
Nelson
Desharnais
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
2
3
Nelson
Desharnais
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (681)
54.6% (630)
-6.6%
Power Play
54.0% (87)
58.0% (69)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
100.0% (2)
-59.5%
On penalty kill, Desharnais has a +59.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Nelson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Nelson shoots left. Desharnais is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Nelson
Desharnais
Home
51.1% (399)
57.1% (340)
Away
45.6% (406)
53.2% (361)
By Period
Nelson
Desharnais
P1
51.8%
50.9%
P2
47.5%
60.0%
P3
46.5%
54.0%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | David Desharnais |